Before launch iPhone 5 American analysts I do various calculations more or less relevant in relation to the impact that the terminal will have on the USA. Michael Feroli, the chief economist of JP Morgan, claims that iPhone 5 it could increase the gross domestic product of the USA by up to 0.5%, that is, it could bring the budget 3.2 billion dollars in a fiscal quarter and 12.8 billion in a whole year. This amount represents approximately 0.33% of the current US GDP, and those from JP Morgan are convinced that the iPhone can help the economy grow.
Sales of the new iPhone could add between a quarter and a half percentage point to fourth quarter annualized growth in the US, according to JP Morgan's chief economist, Michael Feroli in a note to clients on Monday. Calculated using the so-called retail control method, sales of iPhone 5 could boost annualized GDP growth by $3.2 billion, or $12.8 billion at an annual rate," Feroli wrote. That 0.33 percentage-point boost, he added, "would limit the downside risk to our Q4 GDP growth protection, which remains 2.0 percent.
To arrive at these figures, those from JP Morgan calculated that Apple would sell 8 million iPhone terminals at an average price of $600, but subtracting $200 as the cost of the components, we are left with $400, a price that the government can take into account the GDP growth. Those from JP Morgan say that their forecasts should be viewed with skepticism, but it is possible that Apple will sell 8 million iPhones in September when its fiscal year ends.
