Russia is preparing a new military offensive in Ukraine in the next period, especially in the Donbas region, where the Russians do not yet have total control, but they have plans to destroy as much of the territory as possible, in order to push the Ukrainian army back to Kiev, which of course it won't be that simple anyway.
Russia could launch its offensive at the end of spring and beginning of summer, the intelligence services in Ukraine seem to have details about the attack plans of the Russians, which is not exactly surprising, but the big problem is with the military aid, especially from the US , without which the Russians could cause extremely big problems for the Ukrainians.
"Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov reported that Ukraine anticipates that Russian offensive operations will intensify in late spring and early summer. Budanov said in an interview with German broadcaster ARD, published on April 7, that Ukraine expects Russia's offensive operations to intensify, especially in Donbas.
Budanov also reported that Russian forces will likely try to advance towards Chasiv Yar (west of Bakhmut) and in the direction of Pokrovsk (about 43 km northwest of Avdiivka). Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky previously said in a CBS News interview published on March 28 that a major Russian offensive effort could begin in late May or June.
ISW has recently noted that Russian forces have stepped up the pace of their offensive operations in the theater, including conducting a company-sized mechanized assault on Chasiv Yar on April 4, and continues to assess that the Russian military appears to be successfully mitigating the likely increased casualties labor and material.
Zelensky and senior Ukrainian military officials have recently warned that delays in security assistance have forced Ukraine to cede the battlefield initiative to Russia, and that the Ukrainian military cannot plan a successful counteroffensive or defensive effort without knowing when and what kind of aid will arrive. receive Ukraine.
ISW continues to assess that delays in Western military assistance have forced the Ukrainian military to create material and that Ukrainian forces may have to make difficult decisions prioritizing certain aspects of its defense over challenging the initiative to curtail Russian military capabilities or the plan to future counter-offensives. operations as protracted US military aid debates continue."
NEW: Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate Head Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov reported that Ukraine anticipates Russian offensive operations to intensify in late spring and early summer. (1/4) pic.twitter.com/tMpXWBGTjW
— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) April 8, 2024
