Russia continues to conquer new territories in Ukraine, as the Ukrainian army is left without the necessary ammunition to defend the front against the troops of the aggressor state, and according to military experts, it seems that near Chasiv Yar the Russians managed to finally occupy a number of territories.
Russia wants until May 9 to occupy the city of Chasiv Yar, an important strategic point for the future operations of the Russians, so the offensive will be concentrated to a greater extent on this city in the next period, but it remains to be seen how successful it will be have.
Ukrainian commander-in-chief Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi reported that the Russian high command is aiming to seize Chasiv Yar, Donetsk region, by Russia's Victory Day holiday on May 9. The Russian military command's goal of capturing Chasiv Yar in just three and a half weeks indicates that the Russian command likely assesses that Russian forces will be able to capture the city at a faster pace of offensive operations than efforts to capture Bakhmut in May 2023 or Avdiivka. in February 2024.
The Russian military command likely assesses that the continued lack of critical Ukrainian munitions will allow Russian forces to seize Chasiv Yar within weeks, despite ISW's assessment that Russian forces have currently only reached the easternmost part of the Kanal Microdistrict, the most eastern Chasiv Yar.
The Russian command has typically set unrealistic targets for Russian advances, and one Russian milblogger expressed hope that Russian forces may be able to enter Novyi Microdistrict in southeastern Chasiv Yar by May 9.
However, the Russian military will intend to capitalize on significant Ukrainian artillery and air defense deficits, which are critical to Ukraine's defense and which have not constrained Ukraine's defense of Bakhmut or Avdiivka to the same degree as their current constraints.
The Russian military command will likely continue efforts against Chasiv Yar until the end of the effort, but Russian forces may be able to make faster progress than in previous efforts given the current extent of Ukraine's artillery and air defense shortages.
6/ The RU military command will likely continue efforts against Chasiv Yar until the effort culminates, but Russian forces may be able to make faster advances than in previous efforts given the degree of Ukraine's current artillery & air defense shortages. https://t.co/bCOIREZ7sw pic.twitter.com/k9OPCaXqBQ
— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) April 15, 2024
